United States: Republican Senate contestants are leading in three key states, as per the votes from America’s most accurate pollster.
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The New York Times-Siena College poll, which has been rated as the most accurate by FiveThirtyEight, was taken between 5 th and 8th of October and shows that Republicans are leading in Montana, Texas, and Florida- all states where the Republicans have had a thin edge.
The poll also shows the GOP leading but with the thinnest of margins in Texas. Currently, incumbent Senator Ted Cruz is 4 points ahead of his rival for the seat, Colin Allred, 48 percent to 44 percent.
In Montana, the Republican candidate has 52 percent. In comparison, incumbent Senator Jon Tester has a 44 percent lead.
However, Tim Sheehy is 8 percent ahead of his rival. In the same view, Florida Republican candidate Rick Scott is ahead of his Democratic rival Debbie Mucarsel-Powell by 49 percent to 40 percent, newsweek.com reported.
As Democrats struggle to defend a thin Senate majority that they currently possess, all three races might prove critical to determine who will control the Senate in 2025.
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To gain Senate majority at the start of the new Congress next year, Republicans need to win only two seats in November. They are expected to win one seat in West Virginia – where Democratic-caucusing independent Joe Manchin is retiring, so they only need one more.
For Democrats to retain a numerical majority in the chamber in 2025, the party will have to win every other competitive seat this year plus the presidency, which would provide a Democratic vice president, Tim Walz, with a casting vote in the event of a tie with 50 Dems in the chamber.
Some of the most competitive Senate contests this year were in Montana, Florida, and Texas, and polls vary on who leads whom. The AARP poll conducted between August 25 and 26 for Montana showed that Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL and business owner supported by Trump, was ahead by 6 percent, newsweek.com reported.